US economy slows to mere 0.1% growth

Written by admin on 30/07/2019 Categories: 佛山桑拿网

The US economy ground almost to a halt in the first three months of the year amid severe winter weather, official data shows.

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Gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 0.1 per cent after hitting a 2.6 per cent pace in the 2013 fourth quarter, the Commerce Department said.

It was the slowest growth since the last quarter in 2012. The slowdown was much sharper than expected, with most analysts having forecast a 1.0 per cent pace.

Driving the slump were falling exports and business investment and a larger decrease in inventory investment.

Exports dived 7.6 per cent after a 9.5 per cent rise in the fourth quarter.

Another key factor was a modest slowdown in consumer spending, which accounts for about two-thirds of US economic activity. Consumer spending increased 3.0 per cent, slowing from a 3.3 per cent rise in the fourth quarter.

Spending fell mainly on non-durable goods like clothing and food and beverages, while it picked up for utilities and health care.

The Commerce Department did not comment on the reasons behind the slowdown, but the Federal Reserve has said that bad winter weather in much of the country was partly to blame.

The data came as the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee met for a second day of deliberations on monetary policy.

The FOMC is widely expected to announce later on Wednesday a cut of $US10 billion ($A10.82 billion) from its bond-purchase stimulus program, bringing it to $45 billion a month.

Inflation was slightly more subdued in the first quarter, coming in well-below the Fed’s 2.0 per cent target.

Prices of goods and services bought by consumers rose 1.4 per cent in the first quarter, slowing from a 1.5 per cent gain in the fourth quarter.

Excluding food and energy, so-called core prices rose 1.4 per cent after a 1.8 per cent gain in the prior quarter.

A bright spot was higher personal income that offered hope for stronger consumer spending in the second quarter.

The increase in disposable personal income – income adjusted for inflation and taxes – more than doubled to 1.9 per cent. The savings rate fell.

The report is the first of three estimates on growth. Most analysts expect the economy will bounce back in the current second quarter.

“In short, weak growth and tame inflation, with growth even weaker than expected based on the monthly data,” said Jim O’Sullivan, chief US economist at High Frequency Economics.

But he said the monthly data have also signalled a pick-up in growth later in the quarter and as the second quarter began.

“The pattern is consistent with the weakening being due in large part to weather effects and other sources of volatility rather than fundamental deterioration.”

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